Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 18.044173 20.984041 24.198025 27.965356 32.252774 36.972518 42.553765
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.217330 18.506403 23.673932 30.321275 38.604359 48.541223 61.315791
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.134017 15.870172 22.035455 30.564503 41.958822 56.544272 76.495716
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.859757 13.652792 20.316758 30.115371 43.981159 62.694003 89.603326
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.103357 11.745233 18.591061 29.214927 45.023479 67.354816 100.869422
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.986144 10.544798 17.630761 29.162801 47.091551 73.435973 114.445960
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.165802 9.647707 16.958402 29.381047 49.470620 80.045361 129.205270
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.148238 8.231161 15.229570 27.656227 48.567629 81.531861 136.265355
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.760475 7.850381 15.156111 28.607767 51.992541 89.922978 154.556975
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.510501 7.678392 15.409256 30.119360 56.451127 100.264917 176.665163
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.000863 6.912865 14.477427 29.399193 56.974052 104.139305 188.448569
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.499708 6.073495 13.284001 28.036023 56.183844 105.673518 196.343429
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.376995 6.045510 13.720221 29.914514 61.656749 118.765041 225.556932
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.299606 6.113458 14.375464 32.331668 68.438805 134.828456 261.391600
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.038776 5.706109 13.977167 32.572151 71.068421 143.616056 284.955660
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.761049 5.199068 13.281585 32.093125 72.206668 149.705877 304.024362
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.494059 4.659621 12.423626 31.138867 72.251491 153.680020 319.381387
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.320118 4.329290 11.999564 31.083529 74.138657 161.325205 342.195033
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.184205 4.075065 11.718890 31.314642 76.645237 170.360011 368.289677
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.968570 3.535135 10.630366 29.487637 74.437409 169.684575 375.172654
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.905050 3.447353 10.704415 30.495625 78.687462 182.600364 410.165360
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.869688 3.442727 11.001799 32.096497 84.443372 199.069487 453.431358
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.751797 3.134193 10.407320 31.333853 84.577575 203.556376 472.185068